The tool, made in conjunction with Imperial College’s COVID-19 Response Team, predicts 124,448 deaths this year if ministers had lifted lockdown this week.
Graphs show a significant peak from March 2, which reduces as the days pass in March.
By March 31, the potential number of deaths decreases by more than half, to 58,729.
The decrease significantly, but more slowly in the months before the Government’s proposed endgame.